D-Risk Investing Podcast

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) - Episode 104 - Oct 16, 2025

Ready to strap in for a wild ride? AI hype just sent Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) soaring over 30%, thanks to a critical new plug-in with NVIDIA’s next-gen platforms. But before you press "buy," consider this: NVTS has a lukewarm "Hold" from professional analysts, yet is sporting a staggering 30% short interest, a classic powder keg setup for a massive short squeeze. We dive into the explosive technical breakout, the conflicting fundamental story, and the clear-as-day risks to determine if this rocket stock is set for liftoff or a sharp pullback. Don't trade another session blind; tune in to hear our Cautiously Bullish verdict and the exact price level that would invalidate the entire thesis.

Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) - Episode 103 - Oct 16, 2025

The stock just blasted off to an all-time high, but is it a spectacular vision or a classic sugar rush? We’re D-Risking Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR), the crypto-miner that's making an aggressive, multi-billion-dollar pivot into AI. With the stock price now trading well above its fundamental valuation and unanimous 'Buy' ratings from analysts, the market is betting big on its future. But wait, nearly 20% of the shares are sold short, setting up a massive tug-of-war between extreme options optimism and deep-seated skepticism. Dive in to hear our verdict on this explosive technical breakout and discover the critical invalidation level that will decide if the bulls keep flying or the bears trigger a vicious short squeeze.

Bank of America Corporation (BAC) - Episode 102 - Oct 15, 2025

Bank of America ($BAC) just delivered a major earnings beat, exceeding Wall Street's expectations with stellar revenue and strong profits that fundamentally scream "buy." But before this morning's blockbuster news, the stock's chart was quietly flashing deep red, showing bearish trends, money flowing out, and a clear technical breakdown. Can a single earnings report—no matter how good—instantly invalidate a looming sector warning and wipe away the damage done by weeks of distribution? We dive into the conflicting fundamental optimism versus the technical grim reality, analyze the crowded options field at the crucial $52.50 strike, and reveal the one price level that determines if $BAC is set for a powerful breakout or if the chart's warning signs will ultimately prevail.

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) - Episode 101 - Oct 15, 2025

This semiconductor stock is facing the ultimate identity crisis: Is it a high-growth fundamental winner or a deeply troubled technical trap? Onto Innovation ($ONTO) just received a massive analyst upgrade to an almost unbelievable $180 price target, suggesting huge undervaluation. But peel back the chart, and you find a story of bearish trends, negative momentum, and a shadowy short interest actively betting against the hype. Join D-Risk as we dive into this high-stakes tug-of-war, dissect the conflicting signals in options and price action, and identify the single key level that will decide if ONTO is ready for liftoff or on the verge of a sharp crash.

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) - Episode 100 - Oct 14, 2025

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is a fundamental fortress, celebrated by analysts with fresh 'Buy' ratings and a clear long-term trend firmly pointing up. But as the market enters a choppy, risk-off session, a massive conflict is emerging: the stock is trading at $213, yet our fair value models flag a sobering price range between $42 and $92 per share. This staggering valuation disconnect, combined with a major short interest position and cooling short-term momentum, has turned PANW into a tug-of-war between fervent bulls and entrenched skeptics. We dig into the data to find the critical $220 call options ceiling and the $208 floor that will determine whether this cybersecurity giant’s price is set for a new leg up or a reality check.

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) - Episode 99 - Oct 14, 2025

Is CrowdStrike (CRWD) the ultimate cybersecurity hero or a bubble waiting to burst? Wall Street analysts are shouting "Buy" and hiking price targets to over $500, but our cash flow model shockingly pegs the fair value at just $98 per share. Add to that a high-profile insider selling millions in stock and a nervous, risk-off market, and you have a classic high-stakes showdown. Tune in as D-Risk cuts through the noise of this tech darling's staggering valuation and mixed signals to reveal the key battleground level that will determine if the bulls or bears will win this fight.

Taiwan Semiconductor Mfg. Co. Ltd. (TSM) - Episode 98 - Oct 13, 2025

How does the king of AI chips, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), balance a soaring stock price with a cold, hard valuation of less than half its current trading level? Tune into D-Risk as we dissect the ultimate high-stakes trade: TSM is riding a massive wave of AI demand and fresh, game-changing liquid cooling tech, all while preparing for a critical, record-breaking Q3 earnings report just days away. We analyze the severe technical breakdown from Friday, the bearish tilt in the options market, and the colossal expectations Wall Street has set, forcing listeners to ask: Is this stock a legendary growth story or a bubble about to pop?

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) - Episode 97 - Oct 13, 2025

This uranium stock just surged to an all-time high, fueled by a powerful growth story, a $200M war chest for expansion, and a market overwhelmingly betting on its continued rise. But when a company like Uranium Energy Corp (UEC) is trading north of $14 with a discounted cash flow fair value of just $2.25, we have to ask: Can this soaring stock defy financial gravity forever? Join D-Risk as we dissect the conflicting signals from a euphoric options market and a determined group of short sellers to determine if this high-flyer is a generational buy... or a ticking time bomb.

Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV) - Episode 96 - Oct 10, 2025

Will a landmark DoorDash partnership send Serve Robotics ($SERV) on an unstoppable delivery route to success, or is this the setup for a catastrophic short squeeze? This week on D-Risk, we dissect the sidewalk robot stock that just saw its price rocket by over 12% on a huge catalyst. While technicals are flashing pure upward momentum, the company's valuation is deep in the red, and a massive 24% short interest is betting on a collapse. We break down the ultimate battle between a spectacular growth narrative and a highly vulnerable balance sheet to determine if this freight train has enough steam to hold the line at $18, or if the bears are about to force a painful price reversal.

IREN Limited (IREN) - Episode 95 - Oct 10, 2025

Is the AI boom creating a stock bubble? This week on D-Risk, we dive deep into IREN Limited, the former Bitcoin miner that's rocketed to a new 52-week high after an aggressive pivot to AI cloud computing. The growth story is spectacular, fueled by a massive NVIDIA GPU investment, but financial models suggest the stock is stretched to its absolute limit. We analyze the ferocious tug-of-war between bullish momentum traders and short-sellers, break down the 'overbought' technical warnings, and reveal the crucial support and resistance levels. Tune in for our Cautiously Bullish verdict on whether this AI rocket ship has enough fuel to hold its altitude, or if a sharp reality check is just around the corner.