D-Risk Investing Podcast

USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) - Episode 84 - Oct 3, 205

Can a single conversation with the White House send a stock soaring? They say don't mix politics with your portfolio, but this week, USA Rare Earth (USAR) proves some chats are worth a fortune! As the stock rockets past analyst targets on strategic government talks and a massive acquisition—all while carrying zero revenue—we dig deep into the high-stakes bet being placed on America's critical mineral supply chain. We uncover the twist of overwhelming bullish options activity battling a double-digit short interest and break down the "overheated" technicals that show a stampede of buying pressure. Tune in to D-Risk to discover the precise price levels that bulls must defend, the key invalidation level for this explosive rally, and our final, cautious verdict on where this critical stock is headed next.

Stem, Inc. (STEM) - Episode 83 - Oct 2, 2025

Clean energy player Stem (STEM) is a high-stakes poker game: the company just made a major strategic pivot to high-margin software, creating a forward-looking bullish narrative, but is that enough to justify its "Overvalued" status? This episode of D-Risk dives into the epic conflict between pure market optimism and hard numbers. We track the technical story, which shows the price, volume, and momentum are aligned for a powerful push toward recent highs, while simultaneously grappling with two major threats: a large 13.81% short interest betting on a crash and a unanimous "Hold" rating from Wall Street analysts. With a government shutdown adding macro jitters, can the bulls hold the line at critical support levels, or is the new software story a temporary distraction before the bears take control? Tune in to get our full breakdown on the key price levels that will determine the outcome.

Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) - Episode 82 - Oct 2, 2025

Is Fluence Energy (FLNC) a screaming Buy or a spectacular Trap? After the grid battery stock surged over 24% on news of a major shareholder merger talk and an operational breakthrough with their new Smartstack system, the market is betting big on its future. But behind the bullish technicals, a soaring trend and massive conviction volume, lies a dangerous conflict: the stock is currently trading nearly $8 above its core fundamental fair value, while an army of short sellers holds a massive 33.88% short interest. This episode of D-Risk dives into the core conflict: is the stock's explosive momentum and huge short interest the perfect fuel for a massive short squeeze toward $14, or is the overvalued stock primed for a crash back to its $10 breakout zone? Tune in to get our full strategic outlook and key price levels to watch.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) - Episode 81 - Oct 2, 2025

Is Warren Buffett's nine-point-seven-billion-dollar cash injection for Occidental Petroleum (OXY) the ultimate buy signal, or is Wall Street right to collectively shrug? In an economic climate fraught with contradictions—from booming GDP to a government shutdown—OXY is trading at a deep discount, with fair value estimates soaring over 100% higher than its current price. We dive into the massive debt-slashing deal, the aggressively bullish options market, and the long-term technical trend that suggests a major move is on the horizon, yet nearly 71% of analysts are still saying "Hold." Tune in to find out why the Oracle of Omaha's stamp of approval is facing a wall of indifference, and whether the battle for the crucial $50 level will unleash the next big rally for this energy giant.

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) - Episode 80 - Oct 1, 2025

They said "Just Do It," but investors were left asking "Do what?" after Nike (NKE) delivered a classic surprise quarter that sent the stock soaring! On this episode of D-Risk, we lace up for a no-nonsense analysis of the earnings sprint, which saw revenue beat expectations and sparked a massive after-hours rally. But before you buy the hype, look closer: net income fell 31% and margins are squeezed. Is this a genuine turnaround fueled by a strategic pivot, or just a sugar high masking deeper profitability problems? We dissect the bullish options action, the critical oversold technical signals, and the exact price levels that will determine if the athletic giant is ready for a new marathon or just a short-lived dash. Tune in to hear our final strategic outlook and the key price point where the bulls lose the race.

Lithium Americas Corp. (LAC) - Episode 79 - Oct 1, 2025

What happens when a critical minerals company gets the ultimate seal of approval from Uncle Sam? Today on D-Risk, we dive into Lithium Americas (LAC) after a direct U.S. government equity investment and a massive restructured federal loan sent the stock price soaring. It's a classic Wall Street showdown: a game-changing, de-risking catalyst against a backdrop of a nervous market, cautious "Hold" analyst ratings, and a pre-revenue balance sheet. We cut through the noise, analyzing the explosive technical breakout, the bullish options market, and the colossal short interest that could send the stock into a short squeeze. Will the government's vote of confidence be enough to defy the market's skepticism? Tune in for the full, no-nonsense strategic outlook.

Pfizer Inc. (PFE) - Episode 78 - Oct 1, 2025

Will a massive government deal be the cure for Pfizer's (PFE) sluggish stock performance? The pharmaceutical giant just pulled a strategic masterstroke, insulating itself from a crippling new industry headwind with a landmark $70 billion domestic investment. But while options traders are screaming "bullish," the underlying fundamentals show a complicated story with an alarming revenue problem. Join D-Risk as we dissect this trade, weigh the game-changing political maneuver against the cautious analyst ratings, and use technicals to find the critical price levels that will determine if this stock is due for a powerful breakout or a false alarm.

Wolfspeed, Inc. (WOLF) - Episode 77 - Sep 30, 2025

Can a stock surge 1,700% in a single day and still be a sell? On this episode of D-Risk, we dissect Wolfspeed (WOLF), the semiconductor company that just completed a court-approved corporate rebirth, shedding 70% of its debt and releasing a new product. But this phoenix is flying into a storm: a stunning 50%+ short interest and half of Wall Street analysts flashing 'Strong Sell' are battling a technical chart that looks like a volcanic eruption. Tune in as we cut through the noise of yesterday's massive short squeeze to establish the critical price levels that determine if this move is a sustainable recovery or an overbought rally destined to crash back to earth.

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. (HTZ) - Episode 76 - Sep 30, 2025

Is this rental giant a dirt-cheap bargain, or a financial breakdown waiting to happen? On this episode of D-Risk, we crash-test Hertz (HTZ), a stock where one fundamental model suggests a value over $90, yet another screams zero. While the company secures major financing, every Wall Street analyst says 'Hold' or 'Sell,' and the stock is caught in a dramatic civil war: hyper-bullish options traders are battling a colossal 43% short-interest. Tune in as we dissect the extreme polarization in this stock's story and pinpoint the critical $7.00 and $6.00 levels that will determine its next explosive move.

Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) - Episode 75 - Sep 30, 2025

Is Etsy's massive AI partnership a revolutionary leap, or a classic case of speculative hype? On this episode of D-Risk, we dive deep into ETSY, where a game-changing deal with ChatGPT is running headlong into a valuation gap you could drive a truck through. While technical charts scream "Buy" and options traders are overwhelmingly bullish, a staggering 28% short interest creates a powder keg, and a discounted cash flow model suggests the stock is profoundly overvalued. Tune in as we weigh the explosive technical momentum against alarming fundamental risks to deliver a strategic outlook on whether the AI-powered future can truly justify today's sky-high price.